The Black Swan
Nassim Nicholas Taleb · How rare, unpredictable events shape history and everyday life, and why we underestimate them.
5 people say it helped them, in their own words on Hacker News.
What people said
Whenever, I see a straigh-forward "explanation", alarm goes off inside mind- 'this is too simplistic, and thus oversimplified, and not entirely correct'.
it changed my view of statistics, knowledge, empirical scepticism, philosophy, cognitive biases, societal dynamics, and sure, made me quit investment banking.
it changed the way I think about modeling, forecasting, and day-to-day assumptions.
has also impacted my decision making process more generally
touch on this in a way that forever changed my thinking.
Description from Open Library
From the critically acclaimed author of Fooled by Randomness, a book about the impact of improbable events on every aspect of life.
What people got from it AI summary
Best if you want to rethink how you forecast, model, and judge simple explanations.
- Challenges tidy explanations
- Reshapes decision making
- Rethinks forecasting and models
Style
Big-picture thinking · 421 pages
People who mention it also mention
The one-line description under the title is written by AI. Quotes are copied word for word.